Record year for the GTA new homes market

January 26, 2017

 

Record year for the GTA new homes market

Greater Toronto, January 27, 2017 – In the GTA new homes market, 2016 was a record setting year for low inventory, high prices and high-rise condo sales, the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD) announced today.

There were 29,186 new high-rise units sold across the GTA in 2016, more than in any previous year on record and 30 per cent more than in 2015 according to Altus Group, BILD’s official source for new-home market intelligence. Sales were up in every region in the GTA, particular in Durham where sales were more than double those of 2015.

Overall in 2016 there were 47,161 new homes sold in the GTA, 62 per cent were high-rise units and 38 per cent (17,975 units) were low-rise homes.

2002 was the year that saw the most new homes ever sold in the GTA. That year there were 53,660 units sold of which 72 per cent were low-rise and 28 per cent were high-rise.

“The decline in low-rise sales in 2016 was due to the lack of product available to purchase, not softer demand,” said Patricia Arsenault, Executive Vice President of Research Consulting Services at Altus Group. “The fact that new product is being quickly absorbed, despite rising prices, shows there is continued buyer interest in purchasing new ground-oriented homes in the GTA.”

The number of new homes available to buyers in builders’ inventory across the GTA reached an unprecedented new low at the end of last month, while prices for all types of new homes in the GTA broke records.

At the end of December 2016 there were 13,670 new homes available for purchase, less than half of the 30,400 homes that were available in builders’ inventories a decade ago. New high-rise supply reached a 10-year low, falling to 11,792 units last month. Meanwhile low-rise supply was 1,878 homes, of which only 742 were single-family detached homes.

Ten years ago there were 12,871 high-rise units available to purchase and 17,529 low-rise units of which 11,602 were single-family detached homes.

“We have a shortage of housing supply in the GTA that is approaching crisis levels,” said BILD President and CEO Bryan Tuckey. “Housing is selling as quickly as the industry can bring it to market and the lack of developable land that is serviced with infrastructure, excessive red tape, out-of-date zoning and NIMBYism are hindering our ability to bring more to the market.”

The lack of supply is forcing prices up across the board. The average price of available new low-rise homes, which includes detached and semi-detached houses and townhomes, was $995,116 in December 2016, and for new single-family detached homes in the GTA the average was $1,264,604. The average price of new detached homes increased by more than $273,000 in the past 12 months.

Prices for new high-rise homes also reached an all-time high in 2016. In December the average price of condo units in the GTA was $507,128. In December 2006 it was $321,353. The average size of a condo suite in the GTA grew to 826 square feet last month while the average price per square foot increased to $614. A year ago the average price per square foot was $584 while the size of an average suite was 775 square feet..

A detailed table of new-home sales in the GTA is available below. 

 

December New-Home Sales by Municipality:

December '16

Low Rise

High Rise

Total

Region

2014

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

2014

2015

2016

Durham

153

94

75

37

45

47

190

139

122

Halton

53

84

50

75

43

48

128

127

98

Peel

215

197

119

59

67

89

274

264

208

Toronto

82

17

30

678

1,040

1,408

760

1,057

1,438

York

520

226

278

88

152

344

608

378

622

GTA

1,023

618

552

937

1,347

1,936

1,960

1,965

2,488

Jan-Dec

18,005

19,552

17,975

21,908

22,484

29,186

39,913

42,036

47,161

Source: Altus Group

With more than 1,450 members, BILD, formed through the merger of the Greater Toronto Home Builders' Association and Urban Development Institute/Ontario, is the voice of the land development, home building and professional renovation industry in the Greater Toronto Area. BILD is proudly affiliated with the Ontario and Canadian Home Builders' Associations.

These results were previously released under the REALNET® Canada name, whose independent and comprehensive data, analyses and insights on the commercial real estate investment and residential development markets is collected and compiled using a nationally consistent research process established in 1995. Going forward they will be released by Altus Group, powered by a proprietary data platform led by Altus Data Solutions Canada. This team is the formal unification of leading Canadian real estate data companies previously acquired by Altus Group, including REALNET® Canada.


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A  statistical backgrounder is available for viewing. For additional information or to schedule an interview, contact Andrei Zaretski, Manager of Marketing and Media Relations, at 416-391-3450 or 416-843-4898 or azaretski@bildgta.ca